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US H1B Visa Selection Rate

H1B Selection Rate Blog - 2025 Updates & Analysis

Latest H1B selection rate data, proposed rule updates, and wage level analysis for FY2026 and beyond

H1B Lottery 2025 Statistics: Complete Analysis & Data
July 25, 2025H1B Research Team

Complete analysis of H1B lottery 2025 statistics. FY2025 selection rate: 21.8% across two rounds. FY2026 prediction: 35% selection rate. Analysis of fraud reduction impact and anti-fraud measures.

Key Statistics:

  • FY2025 Total Selection Rate: 21.8% (two rounds combined)
  • Total Registrations: 479,953 (38.6% decrease from FY2024)
  • Bachelor's Degree: ~26.67% selection chance
  • Master's Degree: ~40% selection chance (dual eligibility)
Read Full Analysis
H1B Selection Rate Calculator 2025: Free Tool Guide
July 25, 2025Calculator Team

Complete guide to using H1B calculators in 2025. Current FY2026 selection rate: 35%. Learn about current lottery calculators vs proposed wage-based calculators and how to use them effectively.

Calculator Types Covered:

  • Current lottery calculators (35% FY2026 rate)
  • Proposed wage-based calculators (DOL OES data)
  • Education level impact analysis
  • Best practices and limitations
Read Calculator Guide
H1B Selection Rate FY2026: 35% - Highest Since Electronic Registration
July 25, 2025H1B Research Team

The H1B selection rate for FY2026 reached 35%, the highest since electronic registration began. Analysis of anti-fraud measures impact, beneficiary-centric lottery changes, and what this means for future applicants.

Key Statistics:

  • FY2026 Selection Rate: 35% (up from 28.5% in FY2025)
  • Total Registrations: 343,981 (-56% from FY2024)
  • Beneficiary-centric selection eliminated duplicate registrations
  • Average registrations per person dropped from 1.70 to 1.01
Read Full Analysis
H1B Weighted Selection Rule Under OMB Review - Timeline & Implementation
July 20, 2025Policy Analysis Team

Complete timeline analysis of the H1B weighted selection rule under OMB review. Submitted July 17, 2025, with no official parameters announced. Implementation roadblocks and realistic timeline projections.

Timeline:

  • OMB Review: Up to 90 days from July 17, 2025
  • Federal Register Publication: TBD after OMB approval
  • Public Comment Period: 60+ days
  • Earliest Implementation: FY2027 (March 2026 registration)
Read Timeline Analysis
DOL Wage Levels H1B Priority Analysis - Level I-IV Selection Rates
July 15, 2025Economic Analysis Team

Complete analysis of DOL OES wage levels (17th, 34th, 50th, 67th percentiles) for H1B priority selection. Geographic variations, occupation-specific thresholds, and strategic implications for applicants.

Estimated Impact by Wage Level:

  • Level IV (67th percentile): ~85% estimated selection rate
  • Level III (50th percentile): ~65% estimated selection rate
  • Level II (34th percentile): ~35% estimated selection rate
  • Level I (17th percentile): ~5% estimated selection rate
View Wage Analysis
Economic Impact: H1B Weighted Selection Could Increase Average Wages 41%
July 10, 2025Institute for Progress

Economic modeling suggests wage-based H1B selection could increase average H1B wages from $97,000 to $137,000 (41% increase) and generate an additional $114 billion in annual GDP contribution...

Key Economic Findings:

  • Average H1B wage increase: 41% ($97K to $137K)
  • Additional GDP contribution: $114 billion annually
  • H1B-dependent employers: 41-79% reduction in allocations
  • Entry-level positions: Selection rates approach zero
H1B Fraud Reduction Success: From 780K to 344K Registrations
July 5, 2025USCIS Analysis Team

The beneficiary-centric H1B registration system implemented March 2024 successfully eliminated fraudulent multiple registrations, reducing total submissions by 56% while creating a more equitable selection process...

Fraud Reduction Results:

  • FY2024: 780,884 registrations → FY2026: 343,981 registrations
  • Average registrations per beneficiary: 1.70 → 1.01
  • Selection rate improvement: 24.8% → 35%
  • More equitable system for legitimate applicants